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7. Data Sources and Continuous Reassessment

The robustness of the MHI is underpinned by the MagicDust HavenSphere® Index Data Sources (MHIDS), a dynamic and meticulously curated repository of data sources. These sources are continuously evaluated and updated to ensure comprehensive coverage and relevance to our SHC and SHA. For detailed information, refer to the Appendix.​

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8. Conclusion: The Distinctiveness of the MHI

The MagicDust HavenSphere® Index represents a transformative approach to identifying and evaluating safe-haven assets. By integrating a comprehensive set of criteria with a dynamic data evaluation methodology, the MHI offers investors a robust tool for navigating the complexities of modern financial markets.​

6. Our Chosen Safe Haven Asset Classes (SHA): A Critical and Updated
Selection

The MHI encompasses a curated selection of asset classes that demonstrate strong alignment with our SHC:​

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  1. Gold

  2. U.S. Treasuries

  3. Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs)

  4. German Government Bonds (Bunds)

  5. Swiss Government Bonds

  6. UK Gilts

  7. Swiss Franc

  8. Singaporean Real Estate

  9. Prime Central London Real Estate

  10. New York Real Estate

  11. Paris Real Estate

  12. Tokyo Real Estate

  13. UAE Real Estate

  14. KSA Real Estate

  15. Private Equity Secondaries

  16. Defensive Equity Sectors

4. About MagicDust Partners

MagicDust Partners is a strategic advisory firm committed to guiding investors through complex financial landscapes. Our joint venture, MDP Tier One, specialises in prime residential real estate in the Gulf region, offering curated investment opportunities that align with evolving risk appetites.​

5. The Safe Haven Criteria (SHC): Building Blocks of the MHI

The MHI evaluates assets against eleven meticulously defined Safe Haven Criteria (SHC):​

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  1. Capital Preservation – Ability to maintain value during market downturns.​

  2. Liquidity – Ease of buying or selling without significant price impact.​

  3. Crisis Correlation – Performance relative to broader markets during crises.​

  4. Volatility Resilience – Price stability amidst market turbulence.​

  5. Accessibility – Ease of investment entry and exit.​

  6. Real Return Potential – Capacity to deliver inflation-adjusted returns.​

  7. Leverage Availability – Feasibility and risk of leveraging the asset.​

  8. Regulatory/Operational Friction – Complexities in regulatory and operational aspects.​

  9. Behavioural Stickiness – Investor behaviour towards the asset under stress.​

1. Introduction: Redefining Safety in an Uncertain World

In an era where traditional financial paradigms are being upended, the concept of a "safe haven" demands a rigorous re-examination. The MagicDust HavenSphere® Index (MHI) emerges as a forward-thinking tool, designed to assess asset classes not by outdated conventions, but by their actual performance and resilience in times of crisis.​


In the HavenSphere philosophy, 'safety' is not about eliminating risk. True safety recognises that every asset carries some degree of uncertainty — but that carefully selected combinations of resilience, liquidity, return potential, and regulatory portability offer investors the best defence against volatility and systemic shocks. In an era where hiding capital is not an option, mastering risk — not avoiding it — defines the new frontier of safe haven investing.

2. The Post-Tariff Reality: Markets in Flux

The imposition of sweeping tariffs and the resultant geopolitical tensions have disrupted global markets, challenging the reliability of conventional safe-haven assets. Investors are navigating a landscape marked by volatility, where traditional indicators no longer provide the assurance they once did.​

3. Redefining Safe Havens

Historically, assets like gold and government bonds have been deemed safe havens. However, recent market dynamics necessitate a broader, more nuanced definition. A true safe-haven must offer consistent stability, liquidity, and accessibility across various crises and regimes, ensuring protection not just in value but in function.​

HavenSphere® Index (MHI) White Paper

Published April 2025
Appendix: MagicDust HavenSphere® Index Data Sources (MHIDS)

The MHIDS encompasses a diverse array of data sources, each selected for their relevance, reliability, and alignment with our SHC and SHA. These sources are subject to continuous evaluation and refinement to ensure the MHI remains a robust and responsive tool.​

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  1. U.S. Census Bureau Economic Indicators – Provides comprehensive data on various aspects of the U.S. economy, including construction, housing, international trade, retail trade, wholesale trade, services, and manufacturing.​

  2. U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) – Offers data on U.S. economic performance, including GDP, personal income, and international transactions.​

  3. Department of Commerce Economic Indicators – Delivers a suite of economic indicators produced from various censuses and surveys, serving as foundational data for GDP and other critical economic measures.​

  4. Advance Economic Indicators - U.S. Census Bureau – Provides advance statistics for U.S. international trade in goods, domestic retail inventories, and domestic wholesale inventories.​ 

  5. Census Bureau Index of Economic Activity (IDEA) – Aggregates 15 primary economic data series from the Census Bureau, offering a single time series constructed as a weighted combination to assess economic activity.​

  6. U.S. Economic Census – A quinquennial measure of American business and the economy, providing vital information for government, business, and industry decision-making.​ 

  7. Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) – A longitudinal survey providing comprehensive information on income dynamics, employment, household composition, and participation in government programs, essential for understanding economic well-being and behavioural responses. ​

  8. Center for Economic Studies (CES) – U.S. Census Bureau – Conducts research to improve measures of the U.S. economy and population, developing innovative data products that enhance the understanding of economic trends and inform policy decisions. ​

  9. Office for National Statistics (ONS) – UK Economic Indicators – Provides comprehensive data on the UK economy, including GDP, inflation, employment, and trade statistics, offering insights into economic performance and trends. ​

  10. ONS – UK Housing Market Statistics – Includes data on house prices, rental trends, and housing  affordability across the UK, crucial for assessing the real estate market's stability and investment potential. 

  11. ​HM Land Registry – UK House Price Index – Offers detailed information on property price trends, enabling analysis of market movements and regional variations, vital for evaluating real estate investments. ​

  12. Bank of England – Monetary Policy Reports – Provides insights into the UK's monetary policy decisions, interest rate changes, and economic forecasts, informing assessments of financial stability and investment climate. ​

  13. Knight Frank MENA Real Estate Reports – Offers in-depth analyses of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) real estate markets, including data on market growth, key transactions, and forecasts, essential for evaluating regional property investments. 

  14. Knight Frank Dubai Residential Market Review – A quarterly review highlighting key trends and performance metrics of Dubai's residential real estate market, offering insights into market dynamics and investment opportunities. ​

  15. Knight Frank Saudi Arabia Report – A biennial publication providing comprehensive analysis of Saudi  Arabia's residential real estate market, including trends, pricing, and investment prospects. 

  16. Knight Frank Wealth Report – An annual report offering insights into global wealth distribution, prime property markets, and investment opportunities across various asset classes, aiding in the assessment of high-net-worth investment trends. ​

  17. CBRE MENA Market Reports – Provides detailed analyses of the MENA region's real estate markets, including market trends, investment opportunities, and economic indicators, supporting informed investment decisions.​ 

  18. JLL MENA Market Reports – Offers comprehensive insights into the real estate markets across the Middle East and North Africa, covering sectors such as residential, commercial, and industrial properties, essential for evaluating regional investment opportunities.​

  19. International Monetary Fund (IMF) Regional Economic Outlooks – Delivers in-depth analyses of economic developments and prospects in various regions, aiding in the assessment of macroeconomic stability and investment climates.​

  20. World Bank Global Economic Prospects – Provides forecasts and analyses of global economic trends, including data on emerging markets and developing economies, informing assessments of global economic health.​

  21. Bloomberg Financial Data Services – Offers real-time financial data, news, and analytics, essential for monitoring market movements and asset performance, supporting timely investment decisions.​

  22. Refinitiv Data Services – Supplies comprehensive financial data and analytics, supporting informed investment decisions across asset classes, including equities, fixed income, and commodities.

  23. ​Eurasia Group Geopolitical Risk Assessments – Provides expert analyses of geopolitical developments and their potential impacts on global markets, crucial for understanding political risk factors affecting investments.​

  24. Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) Reports – Offers insights into international affairs and policy analyses relevant to global economic stability, aiding in the assessment of geopolitical risks.​ 

  25. Preqin Alternative Assets Data – Delivers data and insights on alternative assets, including private equity, hedge funds, and real estate investments, supporting evaluations of non-traditional investment opportunities.​

  26. Hedge Fund Research (HFR) Reports – Provides comprehensive data on hedge fund performance, strategies, and market trends, informing assessments of alternative investment vehicles.

  27. Cryptocurrency Market Analysis Platforms (e.g., CoinMarketCap, Glassnode) – Offer data and analytics on cryptocurrency markets, aiding in the assessment of digital assets' volatility and market behaviour, relevant for evaluating emerging asset classes.​

  28. Social Media Sentiment Analysis Tools (e.g., Brandwatch, Talkwalker) – Analyse social media trends and sentiments, providing insights into investor behaviour and market perceptions, supporting assessments of market sentiment.​

  29. Think Tank Policy Reports (e.g., Brookings Institution, Chatham House) – Deliver analyses on policy developments and their implications for economic and market stability, informing evaluations of regulatory and policy risks.​

 

This comprehensive and dynamically maintained MHIDS framework ensures that the MagicDust HavenSphere® Index (MHI) remains a robust and responsive tool for evaluating Safe Haven Asset Classes (SHA) against our defined Safe Haven Criteria (SHC).​

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